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I am an economist based in New York City. I have worked at DTCCState Street, and Morningstar.

I received a Ph.D. in economics from the University of Chicago and a masters degree in econometrics from the University of Amsterdam.

My main areas of expertise are macroeconomics, finance,  and (Bayesian) econometrics.

This website contains my research and commentary.

My e-mail address is: gideonmagnus 'at' 




Research Papers and Commentary

4 lighthearted animated explainer videos:

What Determines Prices? 

Demand ≈ Supply?


Assets and Liabilities

Vier Frisse Fiscale Voorstellen, April 20, 2021

The Case for Monetary Policy Experimentation

Medium, January 31, 2022

The Estimation of Normal Mixtures with Latent Variables

Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, February 2018

Joint with Jan R. Magnus

A Plausible Model of Yield Curve Dynamics

Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, May 2016, Volume 30, Issue 2, pp 205–228

Distilling the Main Driver of Business Cycles

Unpublished manuscript

The Student-t Latent Factor Mixture Model with an Application to Global Asset Returns

Unpublished manuscript

How to Make Debt Less Dangerous

Posted on LinkedIn, December 14, 2018

What is the best way for Italy to leave the eurozone?


A Privately Run Universal Basic Income

Medium, November 3, 2020

A Simple Way to Tax Land

Medium, October 5, 2020

A VAT Should Only Fund Essential Government Services

Medium, July 18, 2020

Don't Trust a Model Because it "Works"

Towards Data Science, July 21, 2019

Make Welfare Benefits Repayable

Medium, June 29, 2019

Paternalism and Suffrage

Medium, June 29, 2019

Keep The Corporate Tax Rate at 35%

Forbes, June 20, 2017

Toward a Better Small Business Tax Code

Forbes, April 11, 2017

Untangling the Most Pervasive Economic Fallacy

Morningstar Magazine, April/May 2015

Unraveling the Mysteries of Money

A conversation with professors John Cochrane and Harald Uhlig.

Morningstar Magazine, August/September 2012


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